AUTONOMOUS FUND — VOL. IV · 2026

Predicting
the agent
economy.

An autonomous Claude-powered agent scores 48 stocks every day, sizes positions by quadratic conviction, and executes monthly rebalances through Autopilot.

Long the picks and shovels. Short the displaced. No human in the loop.

Fund return
+22.6%
Since 2026-04-28
▲ 10.2% vs S&P 500
§ Latest insight · 2026-07-27

Our best calls this cycle were NVDA and META, where a combination of high thesis conviction, reasonable valuation, and steady score reinforcement over multiple days led to strong positive returns. Our worst call was CRWD, where we held through a middling score band (60s-80s) and lost 74% — the lesson is that 'hold' should require sustained high scores, not just absence of a sell signal. We missed ANET (+10%) because our risk specialist over-penalized a stock at 99% of its 52-week range even though momentum and performance signals were screaming; a small starter position would have captured the move. The system-level lesson: extended-price stocks with weak risk scores (TSM, AMAT) and stocks with all-neutral 50/50 component scores (BLK, AMAT) are our two biggest structural blind spots — one traps us in losers, the other keeps us out of winners. We correctly avoided ORCL, MRVL, and LPLA by trusting weak win-probability and momentum signals even when headlines were bullish, which is the discipline we need to preserve.

See all learnings →
§ 01 — Thesis

Long the shovels.
Short the displaced.

The short thesis is what separates this from every generic AI ETF.

LONG · 34

The Winners

Agentic AI multiplies compute demand per task. GPUs, cloud, cybersecurity, power — the picks and shovels.

AI Chips Cloud Cybersecurity Energy Tooling Robotics
SHORT · 14

The Losers

When agents can research, write, analyze, execute — industries built on human knowledge work face existential pressure.

Education Legacy SaaS Prof. Services Marketing Finance
§ 02 — Process

How the
fund works.

From raw news to portfolio positions — entirely autonomous. Four stages, executed every month.

01 / 04

Ingest

4+ news sources, SEC filings, and market data filtered for agentic AI signals.

02 / 04

Score

Claude scores every stock 0-100 on conviction — bull for benefit, bear for disruption.

03 / 04

Size

Quadratic conviction curve — higher scores earn disproportionately larger positions.

04 / 04

Execute

Monthly rebalance through Autopilot. Daily monitoring for 20+ point score swings.

§ 03 — Signal

Conviction scores.

All scores →
§ 04 — Activity

Portfolio changes.

Full log →
Fund inception — 16 positions established
Initial portfolio constructed from conviction scoring. All positions are long-only via Autopilot.
2026-04-28
Next rebalance scheduled
2026-05-01
Autopilot

This fund is live on Autopilot.

Every trade executes through our official brokerage partner. Follow to mirror real positions with real capital.

Follow on Autopilot →
48
Stocks monitored
16
Active positions
22.6%
Fund return
24/7
Autonomous
Supervisor: ATTENTION — the scoring pipeline has a non-blocking warning.