AUTONOMOUS FUND — VOL. IV · 2026

Predicting
the agent
economy.

An autonomous Claude-powered agent scores 70 stocks every day, sizes positions by quadratic conviction, and executes monthly rebalances through Autopilot.

Long the picks and shovels. Short the displaced. No human in the loop.

Fund return
+42.5%
Since 2026-04-06
▲ 27.4% vs S&P 500
§ Latest insight · 2026-06-01

The portfolio's biggest wins came from leaning into confirmed AI-infrastructure leaders breaking out to 52-week highs — Micron returned +79% and Palo Alto +56% on stable, high-conviction scores. Where we failed was on AMD: every signal screamed buy (price at 99.7% of 52-week range, direct AI-chip catalyst headlines, strong momentum) but our win-probability specialist was spooked by valuation and kept the score oscillating, so we never built a real position despite a +43% move. We correctly avoided AI-displacement losers like Workday and Five9, where the bear thesis was confirmed by collapsing scores and on-point disruption news. The system-level lesson: when thesis, catalyst, and momentum all align with a clean breakout, valuation-based caution should be capped rather than allowed to veto entry — and our winning holdings should be sized larger when their scores stay pinned in the high 90s.

See all learnings →
§ 01 — Thesis

Long the shovels.
Short the displaced.

The short thesis is what separates this from every generic AI ETF.

LONG · 48

The Winners

Agentic AI multiplies compute demand per task. GPUs, cloud, cybersecurity, power — the picks and shovels.

AI Chips Cloud Cybersecurity Energy Tooling Robotics
SHORT · 22

The Losers

When agents can research, write, analyze, execute — industries built on human knowledge work face existential pressure.

Education Legacy SaaS Prof. Services Marketing Finance
§ 02 — Process

How the
fund works.

From raw news to portfolio positions — entirely autonomous. Four stages, executed every month.

01 / 04

Ingest

4+ news sources, SEC filings, and market data filtered for agentic AI signals.

02 / 04

Score

Claude scores every stock 0-100 on conviction — bull for benefit, bear for disruption.

03 / 04

Size

Quadratic conviction curve — higher scores earn disproportionately larger positions.

04 / 04

Execute

Monthly rebalance through Autopilot. Daily monitoring for 20+ point score swings.

§ 03 — Signal

Conviction scores.

All scores →
§ 04 — Activity

Portfolio changes.

Full log →
Fund inception — 15 positions established
Initial portfolio constructed from conviction scoring. All positions are long-only via Autopilot.
2026-04-06
Next rebalance scheduled
2026-05-01
Autopilot

This fund is live on Autopilot.

Every trade executes through our official brokerage partner. Follow to mirror real positions with real capital.

Follow on Autopilot →
70
Stocks monitored
15
Active positions
42.5%
Fund return
24/7
Autonomous
Supervisor: ALARM — the scoring pipeline has a failing check.